
Nelson Cruz has always been a beast offensively and there is no doubt about that. His 6’2” 240lb frame and excellent bat speed crushes balls out of the park (it also helps playing your home games in the hitter friendly Arlington Park) Looking up front at Cruz’s stats, one might not consider him as an elite power threat. His highest homerun total in a season was 33 back in 2009 and he hit only 22 homeruns in 2010. The problem with Cruz has been health issues! In 2010, he hit the DL three times with hamstring issues, in which he saw only 445 plate appearances.
Despite injuries, Cruz has still hit homeruns at a great rate. In 2009 he averaged a homerun every 15.6 plate appearances. If he kept that pace up and saw 650 plate appearances, he would have hit about 42 homeruns. In 2010, he continued hitting homeruns at an impressive rate, averaging one every 20.2 plate appearances.
Cruz has kicked off the 2011 season in a historic fashion. He has hit a homerun in each of his first 4 games this season. Only two other players have accomplished that: Willie Mays and Mark McGwire. Now that is some pretty good company! If Cruz keeps this up, I think he is very capable of hitting 45-50 homeruns with a near .300 average. Our very own Jonathan Mitchell predicted Cruz to finish third in the AL MVP race.
While the season has just only begun, Cruz’s performance cannot be ignored. The main goal for him is to stay healthy and if he does that, 45-50 homeruns is not out of the question at all. Cruz actually was asked by the Rangers to skip Winter Ball this year and that might not ware him down as much and keep him healthy throughout the season. But one can only hope.
For those of you cheering for teams that have to go up against the Rangers lineup, well I apologize because that offense is going to produce A LOT of runs and Nelson Cruz will be in the heart of that lineup. And to those of you that picked up Cruz for your fantasy baseball team, you will be very happy with the results.
Filed under: Digging Deep - Analysis | Tagged: Mark McGwire, Nelson Cruz, Rangers, Willie Mays | Leave a Comment »