Free Russell Branyan

If you know me, or have read any of my works from the past, you would know that I have an unhealthy man crush on Russell Branyan. The crush continues, too, as he is crushing Triple-A pitching and there are a handful of contenders who need help at first base and/or designated hitter. (more…)

Time for the Yankees to Check in on the Starting Pitching Market

It seems like every year the Yankees are in the market for starting pitching at the trade deadline. A few days ago, I would not have thought New York would be looking for pitching at the deadline. C.C Sabathia has been his usual self (3.45 ERA), leading the front of the rotation. Phil Hughes (4.48 ERA), while not the best, has been good enough to stick at the back of the rotation. Hiroki Kuroda has proved to be a great offseason addition as he has put together a 3.40 ERA. His at 4.22 which suggests some decline but he has still pitched well. Andy Pettitte has been a great addition as he has a 3.29 ERA, 3.58 FIP, and an 8.56 K/9. Ivan Nova has also been solid this year with a 4.25 ERA and a 4.46 FIP.

The starting pitching as a whole has not been terrific but they’ve been good and the offense has given them the run support. New York’s starters have a 6.7 WAR which ranks 12th in baseball and 5th in the American League. They have a 4.02 ERA and a 4.12 FIP which both rank right around the middle of the league. Yes there is room for improvement in the rotation but it has not been a huge need and there should be no desperation forNew York to look at staring pitching upgrades. Well after today, the Yankees may have to start looking into trading for some starting pitching.

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Why Do the Cleveland Indians Want Johnny Damon?

This is old news in today’s world but Johnny Damon signed a deal with the Cleveland Indians for $1.25M with another possible $1.4M in incentives. MLBtraderumors writes that deal includes a full no-trade clause and would allow Damon to “explore other opportunities”  if he loses playing time if or when Grady Sizemore returns from injury.

When or if Sizemore comes back from injury it will create a very crowded outfield, first base, and designated hitter situation so why would the Indians even want Johnny Damon? (more…)

My 2012 Predictions: AL Central

I am continuing my 2012 prediction series by revealing my AL Central standings and a few positive and negative predictions for each time. In case you missed it, I revealed my AL East predictions already and we, as a staff, revealed some of our overall MLB predictions. Enjoy. (more…)

Cleveland Indians are Looking Good for 2012

For the first half of the season last year, the Indians were looking pretty good. They were sitting at the top of the division and playing well. Things started to spiral down hill though in late May, in large part due to injuries. They acquired Ubaldo Jimenez in the middle of the season but he turned out to really disappoint and the second half of the season did not go well for him or the club. There were some positives to take out of the season though as Justin Masterson really emerged and the rest of the performed pretty well. Asdrubal Cabrera also really stepped up and was one of the top offensive shortstops in the league.

This offseason the Indians have made some nice moves to improve their team. They resigned Grady Sizemore for a relatively low risk, one year deal at $5MM and that could work out well, especially if Sizemore is healthy. They also acquired pitcher Derek Lowe from the Indians toward the end of October.

In December the club signed Felix Pie to a minor league deal with a spring training invite and he could be a useful piece. They just recently signed Ryan Spilborghs to a minor league contract with a spring training invite and he could be a nice outfielder off of the bench. Yesterday the Indians acquired Kevin Slowey from the Rockies who will provide some nice pitching depth. While those acquisitions are not huge, I think they bolster a team that has potential in 2012.

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MLB Top 50 Free Agent Predictions

 

MLB Trade Rumors recently released their top 50 free agents and where they think each player will sign. They had a competition where fans could submit their predictions to win prizes. Here are my predictions for the top 50 free agents.

 

1.  Albert Pujols St. Louis Cardinals
2.  Prince Fielder Chicago Cubs
3.  Jose Reyes Milwaukee Brewers
4.  C.J. Wilson New York Yankees
5.  Yu Darvish Texas Rangers
6.  Edwin Jackson Washington Nationals
7.  Jimmy Rollins Philadelphia Phillies
8.  Aramis Ramirez Los Angeles Angels
9.  Carlos Beltran Boston Red Sox
10.  Jonathan Papelbon Boston Red Sox
11.  Michael Cuddyer Seattle Mariners
12.  Mark Buehrle Florida Marlins
13.  David Ortiz Boston Red Sox
14.  Ryan Madson Philadelphia Phillies
15.  Hiroki Kuroda Los Angeles Dodgers
16.  Carlos Pena Pittsburgh Pirates
17.  Francisco Rodriguez Baltimore Orioles
18.  Roy Oswalt Baltimore Orioles
19.  Javier Vazquez Retirement
20.  Heath Bell Florida Marlins
21.  Coco Crisp Chicago White Sox
22.  Hisashi Iwakuma Minnesota Twins
23.  Kelly Johnson Toronto Blue Jays
24.  Josh Willingham Tampa Bay Rays
25.  Paul Maholm New York Mets
26.  Grady Sizemore St. Louis Cardinals
27.  Bartolo Colon Texas Rangers
28.  Erik Bedard Seattle Mariners
29.  David DeJesus Chicago Cubs
30.  Jason Kubel San Francisco Giants
31.  Ramon Hernandez Pittsburgh Pirates
32.  Jeff Francis Colorado Rockies
33.  Chris Capuano San Diego Padres
34.  Tsuyoshi Wada Toronto Blue Jays
35.  Clint Barmes Detroit Tigers
36.  Casey Kotchman Cleveland Indians
37.  Freddy Garcia New York Yankees
38.  Aaron Hill Los Angeles Dodgers
39.  Johnny Damon Cleveland Indians
40.  Aaron Harang Los Angeles Angels
41.  Jamey Carroll Houston Astros
42.  Rafael Furcal St. Louis Cardinals
43.  Juan Pierre Cincinnati Reds
44.  Frank Francisco Arizona Diamondbacks
45.  Jason Marquis New York Mets
46.  Joel Pineiro Los Angeles Dodgers
47.  Jonathan Broxton New York Mets
48.  Joe Nathan Cincinnati Reds
49.  Kerry Wood Retirement
50.  Bruce Chen Pittsburgh Pirates

 

Trade Deadline Head Scratchers

Earlier today I wrote about the trade deadline winners so I feel the need to write, not about the losers, it’s too soon to tell, but about the deals and non-deals that made me scratch my head and wondering what the team was thinking. With that said, here are the trades that left me in wonder:

The Giants trade for Cabrera: The Giants traded Thomas Neal, a prospect in that has a good chance to be a solid 4th outfielder for Orlando Cabrera, a guy with -0.7 fWAR and a -7.2 UZR. Yes, the Giants need middle infield help but Cabrera should not be playing on any contending team and the fact they gave up a prospect for him makes the deal even worse. This is after they traded Zack Wheeler for Carlos Beltran. Sure, Beltran was the best position player available but they get 2+ months of Beltran and no compensation pick and lose a potential top-of-the-rotation starter with 6 years of control.

The Dodgers give Robinson away: The Dodgers apparently love to give legit prospects away for bulk prospects with bench potential. They traded Trayvon Robinson who was hitting .293/.375/.563 with 26 homeruns in his first season in AAA. He has great raw power but swings and misses a lot and is still raw for a guy who will be 24 on September 1st. He has the wheels to play center but is better suited for left and could have been starting there next year for the Dodgers but they wanted a future back up catcher in Tim Federowicz with no bat and two future right-handed relievers in Stephen Fife and Juan Rodriguez. On top of this they are holding on to aging veterans when they need to save money and rebuild.

The Twins proposal of Span for Storen and not trading Cuddyer: Why would the Twins, who need to be selling high on Michael Cuddyer, be trying to trade Denard Span, a true center fielder who was well on his way to a 5 fWAR season, for Drew Storen, a potential 1 fWAR reliever? Don’t get me wrong, I really like Storen, but Span was having an All-Star year and has that potential moving forward and Storen is a reliever. You don’t make trades like that. What you do is make trades that involve soon-to-be free agents named Michael Cuddyer and Jason Kubel who are hitting .298/.370/.477 with 16 homeruns and a career high 138 wRC+ while  playing multiple positions and .303/.356/.444 with a 126 wRC+ all while the market is hot for hitters.

The non-moves by losing ball clubs: I have no idea why the only move the A’s made was trading Brad Ziegler. I do like the trade because they got Brandon Allen in return but they held on to too many pieces that could have netted solid returns like Coco Crisp, Josh Willingham, Conor Jackson, Michael Wuertz, Brian Fuentes, and Grant Balfour. The Cubs also held on to guys like Kerry Wood, Aramis Ramirez, and Carlos Pena. I can only imagine the return they’d get for Ramirez who has 19 homeruns and passable defense at one of the worst hitting positions in 2011. The Royals held on to Melky Cabrera, 2010′s worst player who is having a career year hitting .304/.340/.466 with 13 homeruns and 14 stolen bases and, amazingly, passable defense in center and, amazingly, great base running with a +3.9 Bsr. They also held on to Jeff Francoeur who was hitting .272/.326/.464 and an excellent +4.1 UZR in right.

The non-moves by winning ball clubs: The Yankees decided to stand pat and not add a needed starting pitcher for the second deadline in a row. In fact, the most talks surrounding them were about reliever Heath Bell and it was wise of them not to pay heavily for something they did not need. The Angels sat around and complained about the price during the deadline rather than adding a legit bat. The Rays, who had pieces to sell and buy, did absolutely nothing. They could have been the biggest buyers with their farm system and not even traded their top 3 prospects. They desperately need bats and I do not blame them for holding on to B.J. Upton, Casey Kotchman, or Johnny Damon if they think they are still contenders in the AL East. But, if they happened to be sellers why did they not make a deal involving Upton, Kotchman, Damon, Joel Peralta, Kyle Farnsworth, Jeff Niemann, Wade Davis, or Alex Cobb? Heck, why didn’t they make a trade imvolving a pitcher for a bat anyway. They could have still been contending and helped their 2012 club with the right bat.

-Jonathan C. Mitchell can be found writing about the Tampa Bay Rays at DRaysBay and you can follow him on twitter at @FigureFilbert and follow MLBdirt at @MLBdirt

Notes From Rays vs. Pirates on 2/27

Andrew McCutchen
(Picture by Jonathan C. Mitchell)

-Not that this is news but Andrew McCutchen might be the best centerfielder in the game. McCutchen turned on a James Shields pitch in the first inning and hit a laser over the left field fence (the picture above is from that home run swing). In his second at-bat he hit a ball hard on the ground through the left side of the infield and stole second base, with ease, on the first pitch of the next at-bat. In his third at-bat he took a pitch on the outer-half to the opposite field gap, hitting the fence. He keeps his hands back and waits for the pitch to get deep and then explodes with great extension transfers his weight perfectly. The ball comes off his bat with a lot of backspin and a lot of speed. McCutchen could be an MVP candidate this year.

-Speaking of Shields, he only worked one inning and gave up that laser shot to McCutchen on a pitch he left up and in the middle half. Otherwise, he looked ok, getting ahead of hitters and getting robbed on a called third strike to leadoff hitter Jose Tabata. It just happened to be the one pitch he left up got hit out.

-Tabata did a good job of working counts from the one-hole but made a lot of weak contact and looked off balance with his swing. His speed wasn’t as fast I thought it would be due to his high stolen base marks either.

-Pedro Alvarez looked a bit sluggish but it is early. He was out in front of pitches all day and looked to pull everything. He did show incredible power to right in BP, which is no surprise.

-Another guy that did well in BP was 24 year old Russ Canzler who hit 21 homers and 28 doubles in AA last year in the Cubs organization in only 355 at-bats. He has a lofty swing that also produced a lot of high fly balls and pop ups. His swing was fun to watch in BP but will drive a manager crazy in the Majors.

-Matt Joyce appeared to be working on an opposite field stroke in BP and didn’t put on the show I expected, but I’m ok with that. I think he was trying to do the same in the game because he was getting pounded inside and looked like he was waiting for something on the outer half.

-My favorite player to watch, other than McCutchen, was Robinson Chirinos. He was hitting lasers all over BP and hit a pinch-hit bomb over the palm trees in left. He keeps his weight back very well and transfers it at the right moment, maximizing his power. I didn’t get to see him behind the plate, though.

-Rays prospect Alex Torres got two innings of work in, showing a live fastball but not much command and had a problem putting hitters away. His delivery looks good, showing good balance and gets a lot of velocity from his legs and also keeps his head up the whole time, but his release point was inconsistent. He has some flaws that are workable and there is a lot to like about him.

-Neil Walker surprised me a little bit, both in a good way and in a bad way. He showed excellent patience and fouled off a few tough two-strike pitches to keep the at-bats alive. On the other hand his swing looked long for a guy with moderate power at best and he looked a little rough ranging to his right at second base. I hope he can stay at 2B because he a good chance to be a regular in the Majors for a while if he can.

-Desmond Jennings was very patient at the plate, showing a very good eye and laying off of borderline pitches that early in the at-bat. He also showed off his speed, swiping second base with ease and chased a deep ball hit by Walker in the right-center field gap for a nice running catch. On the other hand he showed little to no power in BP and also lost a routine flyball in the sun while wearing sunglasses.

-Corey Wimberly reminds me of Tony Womack with better patience. I hope he gets a shot to be a utility guy.

- PECOTA somehow has John Bowker as the highest valued player this year and if that wasn’t a laugh in and of itself after watching him play it made me laugh even more. That is not a knock on Bowker, who belongs as a 4th outfielder and back-up first baseman but he has a very long swing with a major hole in it but he does have power and can play a passable corner.

-Justin Ruggiano looked bad at the plate, flailing at off-speed stuff down and away from starter Kevin Correia and showing little-to-no patience at the plate.

-Casey Kotchman is the same as always. He did go 2-2 but one was a groundball on a hit and run that left a hole and the other was basically a bloop single. His swing is geared towards contact and looks slow to the naked eye.

-I don’t know what to make of Tim Beckham. He looked awful in warm-ups, booting roughly 20% of the routine balls hits to him. He lacked range to his right in the game, having to backhand a routine groundball that he should have been able to get in front of. He does have a very strong arm, though, and was able to gun the runner down in time for the out. At the plate and in BP he worked on hitting the ball up the middle and I like that approach. It worked in one at-bat when he hit a solid line drive up the middle for a single. His base running was atrocious, taking horrible routes around the bases and showing little awareness of where the ball was, hesitating on an easy call to go first-to-third and ending up just staying put at second. He also showed little awareness in the field. On a ball hit to his left he made a play and the runner from second broke to third, he “looked” over to third to make sure the runner wasn’t going home but the runner never broke stride and went straight for home. Beckham threw to first as if the runner never broke for home. It was a lazy effort on his part assuming the runner would stop at third.

-Jonathan C. Mitchell can be found writing about the Tampa Bay Rays at his other site Figure Filbert and on twitter at @FigureFilbert

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