NL Central Players To Watch

BillyH

Dan Marino continues his trek through each division in the major leagues and giving you one player he thinks is the: Rookie to Watch, Breakthrough Player, The Party’s Over, Non-Roster Invitee Most Likely to Stick, and Just Not Seeing it.

Now, in part four of six, he brings you the National League Central:

Part 1: AL East Players to Watch.

Part 2: NL East Players to Watch.

Part 3: AL Central Players to Watch.

Chicago Cubs (more…)

Callup Spotlight: Adrian Cardenas

Yes, Anthony Rizzo is raking at Iowa right now and Brett Jackson is the OF of the Cubs very near future, but Adrian Cardenas needs to be called up now and replace either Ian Stewart or Blake DeWitt on the active roster, and get a lions share of the time as a three-bagger.

Stewart is picking up where he left off last season with a triple slash line of .188/.258/.318. This is compared to .333/.376/.544 of Cardenas at AAA Iowa right now. Cardenas been playing mostly second base but has also seen action at shortstop and third base. (more…)

2012 MLB Rookie Watch: NL Central

The other day I kicked off the first of a series of posts in which I will take a look at rookies who should or could have an impact in 2012. I will be going by division by division taking a look at rookies for each team. I will make my pick for the rookie whom I think will have the biggest impact as well as other guys to watch for. In the first article I took a look at the rookies in the NL West and up next is the National League Central.
(more…)

My 2012 Top 100 Prospects

I present to you my 2012 top 100 prospect list. I have ranked the players evaluating ceiling, how likely a player reaches that ceiling, risks that come with a player, experience, and all the other stuff along those lines. I hope to hear what you guys think whether it be in agreement or disagreement. Enjoy.

(more…)

2012 Chicago Cubs Top 16 Prospects


(Photo by: Chris Donahue/Iowa Cubs)

The Cubs have an odd system to rate. They have a lot of good picks from last year’s draft and a few guys that have yet to reach their twenties coupled with guys that had setbacks last year and a lot of power arms that project as relievers rather than starters.

Another odd thing with this system is that there are few potential power bats that also display good patience but good patient bats that display little power.

Below are my top 16 prospects with 2012 opening day age, position, and comments on each player. Below the top 16 is a small list of additional notable names. Enjoy.

(more…)

Epstein Should Trade for Crawford

Everybody has a plan for Theo Epstein and the Chicago Cubs. Some of the better ones involve filling the front office and almost all of them involve trading Carlos Zambrano and Alfonso Soriano.

There is an overwhelming feeling that Epstein will almost forego the 2012 season to perform a minor rebuilding effort and take a shot at 2013 and beyond. If that happens, Cubs fans can kiss goodbye to Carlos Pena, Aramis Ramirez, and possibly Marlon Byrd while bidding a fond farewell to the aforementioned Zambrano and Soriano.

I, for one, think Epstein can put a solid team out there in 2012 while doing a minor rebuilding effort at the same time and I think his first move should be to acquire Carl Crawford from the Boston Red Sox. That’s right, the same Carl Crawford that is due $122M over the next six seasons.

Acquiring Crawford from the Red Sox would fill two potential agendas at the same time. The first would be the acquisition of a top talent that can help now and in the near future. The second would be the trading of Alfonso Soriano.

(more…)

Good Riddance Hendry. Quade, You Can Stay. Cubs 2012 Outlook.


Pretty much sums it up.

Mr. Jim Hendry. I am one happy Cubs fan that you’ve made your way out of town; however, you can leave the head coach you hired around for a while to help rebuild the team. You were fired July 22nd, but helped the team get through the trade deadline and the only move you made was to move Kosuke Fukudome, for a couple of mediocre relievers? Nice work chief. Glad you stuck around for another month; you helped out the team _so_ much! Alright, alright, I will admit, I’m impressed that a good number of their draft picks got signed including first rounder Javier Baez, Trevor Gretzky, and Shawon Dunston Jr. (can anybody say SHAWON-O-METER!!!). I will give you that and that only. Only because the Ricketts family allowed you to go over slotted bonus demands and spend on the players, they were able to be signed. More players needed to be moved off the roster to make room to audition the young kids in the minor league system.

I could go on and on about how Hendry hurt the Cubs over the years, but I don’t want to bore to death. He made some good moves, plenty of bad moves, and couple of head scratchers. Sure, he helped create some playoff teams, back-to-back teams at that, which has been no easy feat for the Cubs over the years. He’s often traded off a lot of what little farm talent they had for a mediocre veteran to graze the pastures of Wrigley to ease into the decline of their career.

Randy Bush, the assistant General Manager promoted to interim GM, should do more than a fine job finishing out the season. I truly hope he calls up a few young kids to get a taste of what is to come for them. I’d like D.J. LeMahieu, Brett Jackson (tearing up AAA), Rebel Ridling (.304 20 HRs 74 RBIs at AA), Ryan Flaherty, and maybe even Josh Vitters to get some work with the big league team this year. As you may or may not have noticed, these are all fielders and not pitchers. The pitchers in the farm system are either not ready, or not good enough at AAA. It’s been struggle for the pitchers this season, especially in Des Moines. Kyle Smit, Nicholas Struck, Jay Jackson, and Robert Whitenack (assuming he comes back from Tommy John surgery) all have a shot at contributing in the years to come, but their time is not right now. The Cubs are doing fine in regards to their minor league development, but it will get better with a new GM in town next season.

The Ricketts family has said they’re going to shop outside the organization for the new GM. There are a few interesting GMs that could be able to be had. Billy Beane, Brian Cashman, Theo Epstein and others have had their names tossed as possible candidates. One thing for will be for certain; the Ricketts will be hiring a big time, big name GM to replace Hendry. Think about the potential with the team, and to be the famed GM that ends the Cubs drought as World Series champions. I would like to point out hat Mr. Epstein was the man who broke “The Babe Ruth Curse”. Who’s the man for the job? I’m not for sure. All I know is the Ricketts want to win and they’ll pay to have the best available GM on the market to lead the team.

This all leads me a bigger point i need to make. Mike Quade was hired this past season to be the full time skipper of the Cubs for the next three seasons. Will he be fired at the end of the season and join Hendry on the unemployment line? I sure hope not. With a few exceptions Quade has done a fine job managing this band of misfits and under achieving veterans. Have you ever seen the movie “The Money Pit” with Tom Hanks? Yeah, that’s the Cubs current roster. If only could cover up Alfonso Soriano with a rug and trap Tom Hanks in his hole. That would make my day. Carlos Zambrano can be the pissed off raccoon in the dumbwaiter. There have been a few growing pains with Starlin Castro, including the recent lapse in concentration when he wasn’t paying attention when James Russell started the inning. Quade can’t help all the errors the Cubs have had this year. He’s only been out managed  few times, and left a pitcher out one batter to many a few times. The biggest mistake was the squeeze play that Quade missed. There hasn’t been many times where I didn’t agree with his call to the pen, or letting a pitcher get that last out.

As a baseball mind, he’s up there with the best. Prior to the managing the Cubs, he managed almost 2,000 games in the minors, so managing a ball club is nothing new to him. He gets on his players when they’re not playing well a la the benching of Castro earlier this week. I sure hope he finishes out his contract, and helps these younger players coming up in the next two season. In the end, he’s going to be the rebuilding coach, and probably won’t have a good win/loss record as the Cubs manager, but he’ll have laid a lot of the ground work for the seasons to come. I would imagine that after Quade will be another big name manager. Will it be Ryne Sandberg? I’m not sure, but I would support that decision. Ryno would have to be willing to come back after getting the big snub when Quade got hired this season.

The last thing I want to address is the future of the Cubs and how I would personally go about things. Get these veterans on the field out of town at any cost. Soriano is going to make his money whether he’s batting or not. Bring him off the bench or to platoon in left. He’s not an everyday player anymore. Even though Marlon Byrd is the leader of the team, he should be moved in order to get a player or two for him. He’s been fantastic for the team, and has instilled his hustle work ethic into some other players on the team. If he’s not moved, he could be a great mentor for Brett Jackson, who should be manning center next season. Tyler Colvin can platoon left with Soriano, and Byrd can play right.

For the love of Pete, improve the pitching staff. First and foremost, get rid of Zambrano. I don’t care if you have to pay him $18 Million to sit on his couch and email his family enough so it hurts his forearms. He’s not a positive player on the roster anymore and doesn’t contribute at all. Matt Garza was a step in the right direction, but there still need to be 1-2 more pitchers added to make the rotation better. I like Ryan Dempster (as a number 3), Garza, Andrew Cashner, and potentially Randy Wells (as a number 5). The pen isn’t horrible, but could use some better arms. I like keeping Kerry Wood around as long as he can compete, and many know about my man-crush for Sean Marshall. Outside of maybe five to seven pitchers, their pitching is pretty thin in the minors. They will need to find somebody outside the organization to fill this hole.

Aramis Ramirez will probably finish out his contract next season with the Cubs. Actually, this is a good decision. Josh Vitters hasn’t quite developed like the team would want, but he’s been better this season, and could just need one more season before he’s ready for the hot corner. It makes no sense to try to get a replacement long term when Vitters is still probably your third baseman of the future.

Darwin Barney. I love the kid. He’s actually my second favorite player behind Sean Marshall. He plays the game very hard, and plays the game the right way. I just don’t think he’s got what it’s going to take to be an everyday player for the years to come and statistically contribute to the team. He doesn’t have much power and he doesn’t walk all that much. If the team gets their production from other players in the lineup, he could settle into a fine bottom of the order hitter. Realistically, he’ll fall into a utility role when someone better comes along.

Get rid of all this AAAA players playing at Iowa. Lou Montanez, Bryan LaHair and Scott Moore, I’m looking at you guys. There are better, younger players you’re blocking from progressing up the ladder. Yeah, yeah, yeah, LaHair is batting over .330 with a MiLB leading 34 home runs and 100 RBIs. He’s a AAAA Hall of Famer. I would rather see Ridling called-up next month over LaHair.

Finally, if you’re going to go after a big named player to take over at first base, please, please choose Prince Fielder over Albert Pujols. Fielder is left handed, cheaper, younger, and almost as good, power number wise, as Pujols. For being a tank of man, Fielder, has been more durable than Pujols over the past few seasons. Seriously, how is Pujols going to be worth $30 million when he’s 41? Let’s get real people. I personally, want to give Ridling and Justin Bour a shot before blocking the two completely with a big name signing.

My Mid-Season Top 25 Prospects

Like Mikey’s top 25 from yesterday, I will only include players that I believe will still hold prospect status at the end of the year and no recent draftees. That means no Mike Trout or Gerrit Cole on my list. Here are my current top 25 prospects:

  1. Bryce Harper (OF – WAS)
  2. Matt Moore (LHP – TB)
  3. Manny Machado (SS – BAL)
  4. Julio Teheran (RHP – ATL)
  5. Shelby Miller (RHP – STL)
  6. Jameson Taillon (RHP – PIT)
  7. Carlos Martinez (RHP – STL)
  8. Martin Perez (LHP – TEX)
  9. Brett Lawrie (3B – TOR)
  10. Jacob Turner (RHP – DET)
  11. Jesus Montero (C – NYY)
  12. Jurickson Profar (SS – TEX)
  13. Manny Banuelos (LHP – NYY)
  14. Wil Myers (OF – KC)
  15. Arodys Vizcaino (RHP – ATL)
  16. Desmond Jennings (OF – TB)
  17. Devin Mesoraco (C – CIN)
  18. Aaron Hicks (OF – MIN)
  19. Jarrod Parker (RHP – ARI)
  20. Miguel Sano (3B – MIN)
  21. Hak-Ju Lee (SS – TB)
  22. Tyler Skaggs (LHP – ARI)
  23. Leonys Martin (OF – TEX)
  24. Taijuan Walker (RHP – SEA)
  25. Travis d’Arnaud (C – TOR)

The biggest jumps from my pre season top 175 list were Taijuan Walker (152nd), Tyler Skaggs (83rd), Jurickson Profar (78th), and Hak-Ju Lee (74th). Most people would have Carlos Martinez as their highest jumping prospect but he was 48th on my pre season list and I am not surprised to see him 7th right now.

There are a few guys that just missed the cut and would have been in my next group. Gary Brown is having an amazing season but I would like to see what he can do in AA before he makes that big of a jump on my board. Jarred Cosart was on the bubble for me. I really like his stuff but the numbers have not matched the stuff to date. His command is average at best and he needs to stay healthy. Jake Odorizzi also just missed my list. I love his feel for pitching and matching it with his stuff makes him a potential #2 starter. Robbie Erlin is another that has fantastic numbers. He is 20 and has a 48/6 K/BB ratio in 48.2 AA innings.

I love Jason Kipnis but his mediocre defense kept him out of my top 25. He very well may be my #26 guy, though, because the bat is very legit. Brett Jackson also missed the cut but I absolutely love the tools. He can play center and could be a 20/20 guy in the Majors very soon. One last guy that I absolutely love is Oswaldo Arcia. He has an outside shot at cracking my top 25 for next year if he can prove the shoulder issues are behind him and he keeps raking like he is.

-Jonathan C. Mitchell can be found writing about the Tampa Bay Rays at DRaysBay and you can follow him on twitter at @FigureFilbert and follow MLBdirt at @MLBdirt

Midseason Top 25 Prospect List

We are at the halfway point in the season, and many prospects have taken strides or falls in their development. Here is my midseason top 25 prospect list. Prospects must not be at the big league level, used up their rookie eligibility, and all 2011 draftees are excluded as well.

  1. Bryce Harper, OF, Nationals
  2. Matt Moore, LHP, Rays
  3. Julio Teheran, RHP, Braves
  4. Shelby Miller, RHP, Cardinals
  5. Manny Machado, SS, Orioles
  6. Jameson Taillon, RHP, Pirates
  7. Jesus Montero, C, Yankees
  8. Martin Perez, LHP, Rangers
  9. Jurickson Profar, SS, Rangers
  10. Drew Pomeranz, LHP, Indians
  11. Brett Lawrie, 3B, Blue Jays
  12. Manny Banuelos, LHP, Yankees
  13. Jacob Turner, RHP, Tigers
  14. Carlos Martinez, RHP, Cardinals
  15. Desmond Jennings, OF, Rays
  16. Tyler Skaggs, LHP, Diamondbacks
  17. Wil Myers, OF, Royals
  18. Travis d’Arnaud, C, Blue Jays
  19. Hak-Ju Lee, SS, Rays
  20. Jake Odorizzi, RHP, Royals
  21. Devin Mesoraco, C, Reds
  22. Leonys Martin, OF, Rangers
  23. Taijuan Walker, RHP, Mariners
  24. Matt Harvey, RHP, Mets
  25. Gary Brown, OF, Giants

Some guys that just missed the cut for me are Robbie Erlin, Brad Peacock, Jason Kipnis, Dee Gordon, and Brett Jackson. I would also like to note that Mike Trout would be my number one prospect if he was not at the major league level.

A few players that I think you have to watch for to jump onto this list by the end of the season are Nolan Arenado, Anthony Gose, Nick Castellanos and Zach Wheeler.

Ideal Fantasy Players

We all want a fantasy baseball roster that is well-balanced in many areas. Offensively, everyone loves a player that will provide both power and speed. Those are typically two very important offensive categories. Having a player that can provide you with both of those stats will really help your team win! Now who are the best players at doing this?

Bill James came up with a statistic called the Power/Speed Number. To have a good Power/Speed Number, a player must do well in BOTH the homerun and stolen base department. You won’t see someone with 50 homeruns and 3 stolen bases or with 50 stolen bases and 3 homeruns doing well in this category.

Here are the top 10 Power/Speed number players from 2010:

Player Pw/Sp-# Stolen Bases HR
1. Carlos Gonzalez 29.5 26 34
2. Chris Young 27.5 27 28
3. Carl Crawford 27.1 47 19
4. Alex Rios 26.0 34 21
5. Hanley Ramirez 25.4 32 21
5. Drew Stubbs 25.4 30 22
6. B.J. Upton 25.2 42 18
7. Shane Victorino 23.5 34 18
8. Matt Kemp 22.6 19 28
9. Joey Votto 22.3 16 37
10. Shin-Soo Choo 23.0 22 22

 

Those players got the job done with the bat and on the base paths. Another thing to note is that a large majority of those players are pretty young so they would be great options in a keeper league as well.

The league high in this stat department (29.5 by Carlos Gonzalez) was fairly low compared to the typical league highs. Over the past 10 years, the league high of the Power/Speed Number has been in the low to mid 30’s. The all time single season high was 43.9 by Alex Rodriguez in 1998.

Last year’s league leaders were Mark Reynolds in the National League (31.1) and Ian Kinsler (31.0) in the American League. Pay attention to those players in your fantasy draft as well because they are capable of being amongst the best in the league again.

Looking for players down the road that will do well in this category? Here is a list of notable prospects close to the major league level that could potentially provide both power and speed:

  • Domonic Brown, Phillies
  • Dustin Ackley, Mariners
  • Brandon Belt, Giants
  • Brett Jackson, Cubs
  • Aaron Hicks, Twins
  • Brett Lawrie, Blue Jays

 While these players aren’t the best overall fantasy players, they are certainly valuable and ideal as they put up solid numbers in two important offensive categories.

Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 1,664 other followers