Here is a look at some pitchers and what their trends suggest for 2013.
-In his 11 year career, Aaron Harang had his two best ERA seasons the past two seasons. However, his walk totals were abnormally high last season, posting his worst BB/9 ratio since his rookie season. His SO/9 have been trending downward over the past six years. His SO/BB ratio was also his worst since his rookie season. However, his H/9 was the second best of his career. Put the good and bad together, and you get a .500 pitcher, which Harang was with the Dodgers. In 2011 with the Padres, he was 14-7. If you remove that season, over the past five seasons, Harang is 28-48. He’s a huge risk at this point in his career.
2013 Projection: 8-11 4.66 ERA
-Jake Westbrook posted his best ERA since 2004. He posted the best HR/9 of his career. His BB/9 was his best since 2006. His ERA was his lowest since 2004. The past two seasons, his numbers are trending upward slightly, so Westbrook could have another solid season if that trend continues.
2013 Projection: 13-9 3.90 ERA
-Ricky Romero was horrible in 2012 after three solid seasons to start his career. His BB/9 were way up and his SO/9 were significantly down. The numbers are so alarming, he could very well be hiding an injury. It would be sad to think we’ve already seen the best of Romero. If there is not an injury, he’ll win games with a potent Blue Jay lineup. Romero is someone to watch in Spring Training. (more…)
Filed under: Digging Deep - Analysis, Fantasy | Tagged: Aaron Harang, Brandon McCarthy, Brian Matusz, Bruce Chen, Cliff Lee, Dontrelle Willis, Edwin Jackson, Fantasy, Homer Bailey, Jake Westbrook, Joe Blanton, Jon Niese, Kevin Millwood, Ricky Nolasco, Ricky Romero, Tim Hudson, Ubaldo Jimenez | Leave a Comment »