Draft Them Then Trade Them – These players start out quickly, then slow down during the season. These are the players to “sell high”.
Kevin Youkilis- He hits .297 during the first half of the season, but .261 in the second half. His best BA months are April/May.
Matt Joyce – Joyce is definitely a trade candidate. His career Apr/May average is well over .300. His next best productive month is July…at just .244. Once June rolls around, he turns into a deadbeat. His career average in June is just .204. Enjoy his early season success, then deal him fast!
James Shields – Shields gets lit up pretty good in June and July. For his career, he is a combined 8 games under .500 for those two months. (However, he does pitch well in August) For his career in April, he is 12 games over .500.
Colby Rasmus – This one gets ugly. The first half of the season, he hits .266. The second half of the season he hits .209 and his HR are cut in half. He is a career .209 hitter in July and .217 hitter in August. Need I say more?
Justin Masterson – In April for his career, he’s 2 games over .500. From May to October, he is 16 games under .500. He hasn’t posted one month outside of April with a record above .500. Case closed.
Adam Jones – His production decreases as the season goes on. August is his least productive month in all major offensive categories. He’s still a bona-fide slugger, so a trade may not be the best option here.
Doug Fister – In April for his career, Fister has an outstanding 2.14 ERA. Then he sleeps for a few months. Despite his potential, May-July he is a combined 7-22 in his career. On a bright note, he does finish strong. If you don’t deal him, keep him on your bench for a few months.
C.J. Wilson – The biggest disparity with Wilson is his ERA. The first half of the season, his career ERA is 3.40. His second half ERA is 3.96. His career ERA in August is 4.78.
Jason Heyward – His most productive month of the season is April. His production falls in May-July. However, he seems to turn the power back on in August. This is the trend of his first three seasons.
Alfonso Soriano – He is most productive in April and May for his career. His career batting average drops every month. It’s not a huge drop off, but it is a drop off nonetheless. Overall, he is still productive from month to month.
Matt Garza – The only month he has a career winning record is April. His SO/9 in April is 9.5. His next best SO/9 month is August with 7.8. Garza is a risky option once May rolls around. Playing on the Cubs doesn’t help the cause.
Andre Ethier – His best month by far in all major offensive categories is April. If you can sell high and trade for other needs, it’s a smart move.
Chris Capuano – He starts out the season in fine form. Then it all falls apart. His first half record is 46-36 with an ERA of 3.70. The second half of the season, he is 23-40 with an ERA of 4.94. From August on, he is 16-31.
Trade For Them Later in the Season – These players heat up as the season progresses. Look to acquire these players as the Summer months approach.
Mike Aviles – He’s a .259 hitter the first half of the season, then he hits .299 in the second half of the season. August and September are his two best BA months.
Robinson Cano – While he is still productive every month, his lowest outputs occur in April and May. September is his most productive month. It’s doubtful another owner will deal him unless they expected higher returns in April and May.
Hiroki Kuroda – For his career, he is 6 games under .500 in the first half, and 6 games over .500 in the second half. August and September are clearly his most productive months.
Edwin Encarnacion – His best production occurs in Aug/Sep. Not only are all of his numbers better, but his HR output is substantially higher for those two months.
Gavin Floyd – He definitely heats up as the season wears on. His career ERA the first half of the season is a 4.81. His ERA for the second half is 4.03, mainly because he keeps the ball in the park with more efficiency the second half of each season. His best strikeout rate per nine innings occurs in August and September.
Jake Peavy – He is all over the place. He starts out strong, takes a hiatus in June and July, then turns it back on in August and September. For the record, he is 35 games over .500 for his career in April, May, August, and September. In June and July he is a combined 10 games under .500 with a non-impressive ERA. So grab him at he July 31st trade deadline.
Derek Lowe – During the first half of the season, he is a career .500 pitcher. The second half of his career seasons, he is a combined 18 games over .500. From April to July he is 4 games under .500. His best strikeout totals occur in August and September.
Delmon Young – His HR totals increase with each passing month of the season. In April for his career, he’s hit just 7HR. His April batting average is .246 (lowest of any month in his career). He hits better as the season goes on.
Alex Gordon – He’s a .245 hitter in April and May, and a .280+ hitter the rest of the season. August and September are his best HR months as well.
Adrian Beltre – His production (HR-RBI) increases as the season goes on. The ascent is gradual, but evident. His home ballpark adds value.
Tim Hudson is fairly consistent for his career, but in August he is off the charts. His career August record is 42-11. He’s not a strikeout pitcher, but his strikeouts do increase as the weather heats up as well.
Ryan Howard – His HR production rises as the season goes on. His most productive HR month is September. His least productive month: April.
Adam LaRoche – His production increases dramatically as the season wears on. His career batting average the first half of the season is .247. His second half average is .293. August and September are also his best HR output months.
Bronson Arroyo – as the season progresses, so do his stats…and in a big way. His career ERA for the first half of the season is 4.69. His ERA for the second half is 3.74. From April through June he is 52-61. From July to October he is 72-54. His WHIP during the first half of the season is 1.380. His WHIP from July to October is 1.227. Game, set, and match….
Aramis Ramirez – His most production HR months are July and August. His career average in April is the lowest of any month. If you can deal for him after a typical slow April, go for it.
Jake Westbrook – Not that I would suggest acquiring Westbrook, but his worst career win pct. month is April. His career ERA for the month of May is 5.00. In June, his stats improve. His best win pct month is August. On a side note, even his best months are nothing to write home about. Get him at your own risk.
J.J. Putz – Putz gets stronger and better as the season goes on. After he blows saves in April and May, he should become a trade target. In April and May he is 5-14 for his career and has his highest career ERA. August and September are his best statistical months. He can help your fantasy team down the stretch.
Todd Helton – He’s past his prime, and his numbers are solid each month, but in August, his career batting average is a gaudy .358. His September batting average is .332. If you need to improve your batting average, and he remains healthy, he may be a good pickup for a backup CI spot.
Barry Zito – The first half of the season, Zito is 75-77 with an ERA of 4.14. The second half, he is 85-55 with an ERA of 3.70. August and September are also his best WHIP months.
Filed under: Digging Deep - Analysis, Fantasy Tagged: | Adam Jones, Adam LaRoche, Adrian Beltre, Alex Gordon, Alfonso Soriano, Andre Ethier, Aramis Ramirez, Barry Zito, Bronson Arroyo, C.J. Wilson, Chris Capuano, Colby Rasmus, Delmon Young, Derek Lowe, Doug Fister, Edwin Encarnacion, Fantasy, Gavin Floyd, Hiroki Kuroda, J.J. Putz, Jake Peavy, Jake Westbrook, James Shields, Jason Heyward, Justin Masterson, Matt Garza, Matt Joyce, Mike Aviles, Robinson Cano, Ryan Howard, Tim Hudson, Todd Helton